Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0234 AM CDT Wed Mar 22 2023
Valid 241200Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...
...SUMMARY... Supercell thunderstorms capable of all severe hazards, including strong tornadoes, are possible across the Lower Mississippi Valley on Friday.
...Synopsis... The upper pattern early Friday morning will likely be characterized by broad troughing across the western CONUS and subtropical ridging centered over the Straits of Florida. Enhanced mid-level flow will extend throughout western and southern periphery of the upper trough and then throughout the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge. A low-amplitude shortwave trough is forecast to move from the base of the upper trough quickly eastward across the southern Plains throughout the day, and then more northeastward across the Mid-South overnight. Strong mid-level flow (i.e. 100 kt at 500-mb) will accompany this shortwave, spreading across TX into the Mid-South.
The surface pattern preceding this shortwave trough is expected to feature a low over north TX early Friday, with a cold front extending southward from this low into the TX Hill Country and a stationary front extending northeastward into the Middle OH Valley. This low is forecast to move northeastward throughout the day, while deepening significantly.
...Lower MS Valley... Expectation is for a broad area of upper 60s dewpoints to be in place from east TX across the Lower MS Valley, ahead of the surface low and associated front. Cloud cover may temper daytime heating, but afternoon temperatures will likely still reach the 80s, contributing to moderate buoyancy across much of the region. In addition to this buoyancy, moderate mid-level flow atop strengthening low-level flow (supported by the maturing cyclone ahead of the approaching shortwave trough) will contribute to long hodographs with substantial low-level magnitude and veering. As a result, the environment will be very favorable for supercells.
Current expectation is for storms to develop during the afternoon over southwest AR and western LA (perhaps as far west as east TX). This development should occur ahead of the cold front within the open warm sector, maturing as it moves eastward across the Lower MS Valley. A discrete supercell mode is anticipated initially, with all severe hazards possible, including strong tornadoes. Upscale growth into a convective line is anticipated after this initially discrete mode, with the line pushing eastward across MS and AL overnight.
...Mid MS Valley... Despite less buoyancy that areas farther south, augmented forcing for ascent close to the surface low could result in bowing line segments capable of damaging wind gusts and embedded tornadoes Friday afternoon through Friday evening.
..Mosier.. 03/22/2023
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2023-03-22
DogshitHandGrenade
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PXMD – Bull Rush follows the Short Attack
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Potato fam, I had to rush this DD out given what has happened this morning.
No news has come out about PXMD yet the Free Float has traded 2x in the first 3 hours of trading today. Smell fishy? That’s because it is fishy.
There has been wave-after-wave of short attacks this morning. I have to hand it to the Shorts, there is no better time in the past 12-month than this morning to orchestrate a short attack… why… Because of the most consequential fed announcement coming this afternoon. On a morning like this volume across the market is extremely low. The big buyers who normally catch dips and short attacks are turned off until the fed makes their announcements.
Those red bars have to get rebought eventually...
What a perfect time for shorts… Lincoln *cough cough*… to unload all their ammo to kill any retail momentum on the stock. Potato fam, if you think 2x the free float of sales in the first three hours of fed announcement day is natural price action, then I have Russet Farm in Antarctica to sell you. You think it would take a whale to orchestrate this short attack but in reality, this float is so small it can be done with as little as 200k shares ($400k) which is NOTHING when Lincoln has $20m on the line.
If you look at the chart above, you will see after each short attack there are no buyers stepping in to halt the attack. That is until we hit $1.80. By this time shorts have unloaded all their ammo in those four waves. They’re also in a worse position now because they know once Fed Announces and big buyers turn back on… it will only take a small number of shares for all these new shorts sold to be underwater. I expect them to be closing these new shorts later this morning prior to Fed announcement. But closing these shorts is going to rocket the price as outlined below.
If you look at the order book, if someone buys 8,000 shares this thing shoots up 15%. What do you think is going to happen when big buyers turn back on today? Shorts just used easily more than 200k shares in these short attacks. They should be afraid of what’s going to happen when they unwind even 10% of these shares (20k) they shorted this morning.
This dip is scary, but it’s been a gift to me. I went from 8,000 shares this morning and now up to 20,000. Full disclosure I only wanted to hold 10,000 shares. After this rockets back up today when the buyers step in I expect to trim back down to my target but I am definitely not selling my stake beyond that. These 1.80s were just too juicy.
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As always, not financial advice. I am not a financial analyst; I am a potato.
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Peace out Potatoes